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17 Mar 2023, 14:25
Sören Amelang

Transition state of play – Germany is emerging from the energy crisis

Wind turbines in Germany set against a darkening sky.
Image: BWE.

A year after the launch of Russia's attack on Ukraine, Germany appears to be emerging from the energy crisis relatively unscathed. Russia’s war has dealt a heavy blow to Europe’s biggest economy, because it was particularly dependent on Russian fossil fuels. But wholesale energy prices have retreated from their peaks, allaying fears of gas shortages, irreparable damages to the country’s prized industries, economic hardships for its citizens, and social unrest. The long-term impact on the country’s landmark energy transition remains uncertain, as Germany redoubles efforts to roll out renewables, but also bets on liquefied natural gas (LNG), a temporary revival of coal plants and a limited runtime extension for its remaining nuclear plants to weather the storm. This article provides an overview of the state of play of Germany’s shift to climate neutrality, which is now dominated by its response to the crisis. It will be updated regularly. [UPDATE 17 March: adds 2022 emissions data]

Find more in-depth crisis coverage:

What’s the energy crisis’ impact on the economy and households?

  • The energy crisis has slowed economic growth in Germany, as rising energy prices put a damper on industrial production and inflation means citizens will buy less. But Europe's largest economy held up surprisingly well at the end of 2022, leading the government to expect it will dodge a widely expected recession. The government forecasts that inflation will slow to 6.0 percent in 2023 from 7.9 percent last year.

  • Many German industrial companies have relied on cheap Russian pipeline gas, among them key producers of basic materials needed for many other products. These firms remain concerned about the long-term effects of the energy crisis, as permanently higher gas prices threaten competitiveness and long-term survival.

  • The government has launched massive relief packages for citizens and companies (see below). Without these, many households could face additional energy costs running into thousands of euros per year. However, as market prices have decreased again, the government might have to spend much less on subsidies than planned.

  • Policymakers, consumer protection groups, and social care services warned that the energy price hike could result in and even unrest if households are overburdened. But so far, protests have remained limited in scope and scale, and mainly limited to for their rejection of government policies.

  • Most citizens blame the energy price hike on external factors such as the pandemic and the war on Ukraine, and generally of the government’s handling of the crisis, according to surveys. They also say that they are to energy savings. But rising prices have become the biggest concern for a vast majority of the population.

How has the government responded?

How will the crisis affect Germany’s shift to climate neutrality?

What’s the overall status of Germany’s energy transition?

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